In this paper, we describe an empirical model of the past, present and future-potential geographic distribution of malaria which incorporates both the effects of climate change and of socio-economic development.
Our model projects that some countries will see an increase in malaria cases but others will see a decrease. We estimate projected malaria inpatient and outpatient treatment costs as a proportion of annual 2000 health expenditures per 1,000 people.
The current and potential future impact of climate change on malaria is of major public health interest1, 2. The proposed effects of rising global temperatures on the future spread and intensification of the disease3, 4, 5, and on existing malaria morbidity and mortality rates3, substantively influence global health policy6, 7.
Malaria is rampant in Africa and causes untold mortality and morbidity. Vector-borne diseases are climate sensitive and this has raised considerable concern over the implications of climate change on future disease risk.
No war is harder than when you have to face an enemy who gets a chance to regroup and rearm regulary hence coming back with more vigor each time. This is the kind of warfare Kenya has to encounter with malaria. The country is currently facing more than its fair share of problems with malaria. In recent times the war against malaria in Kenya has been hampered by multiple factors under which the disease reinvents itself.